experiment integrity before winner selection

Know whether your experiment can be trusted before you act on the result.

CRO OS is being built to separate three questions most experiment reports blur together: was the test delivered correctly, what effect is supported by the data, and what should the business do next? The first commercial job is simpler: bring an existing experiment and find out whether its evidence is fit to interpret.

25% of the full enterprise blueprint is built. It does not yet serve native variants or produce a complete supported readout.
EXPERIMENT READOUT · STRUCTUREthree conclusions, never one winner badge
01 · integrityUNVERIFIED
Allocation data incomplete

Missing assignment/exposure evidence blocks a supported-effect claim.

02 · estimated effectWITHHELD
No supported estimate yet

Effect is not shown as decision-grade until the input contract is satisfied.

03 · owner decisionPENDING
Investigate data integrity

Adopt / reject / continue / investigate stays separate from statistical output.

25%of the full enterprise CRO blueprint implemented.
~80%of the focused v4 CRO gates built, before measured exit proof.
CONSENT FIRSTprivacy eligibility is evaluated before randomization in the native design.
NO AUTO-WINNERintegrity, estimated effect and owner decision remain separate.
the expensive decision problem

A precise-looking winner can still be the wrong experiment to trust.

A test can run for weeks, report a lift and still be operationally invalid: the split was wrong, some visitors crossed arms, outcomes disappeared on one side, the assignment unit changed, or exposure was never actually verified.

01

Delivery can fail

The configured allocation is not necessarily the allocation visitors actually experienced.

02

Measurement can fail

Missing, duplicated or late events can move the reported result while leaving a clean-looking chart.

03

Decision logic can fail

A low p-value alone does not tell the business whether the result is meaningful, mature or safe to ship.

CRO OS starts one step earlier than “which version won?” The first question is whether the experiment was delivered and measured well enough to interpret at all.

the experiment integrity loop

Register the question first. Judge the evidence second. Make the decision last.

Hypothesis + plan→ Allocation contract→ Exposure contract→ Integrity checks→ Effect + uncertainty→ Owner decision

1. Freeze what matters before launch

Hypothesis, eligible population, randomization unit, allocation, baseline, minimum worthwhile effect, sample-size calculation, outcome window, missing-data rules, guardrails and decision owner.

2. Keep assignment, delivery, exposure and outcome separate

Those are different events. CRO OS is designed not to treat “assigned to B” as proof that B was delivered or seen.

3. Check integrity independently from outcome significance

Allocation mismatch, duplicate assignment, cross-arm exposure, event loss, cache leakage and outcome maturity are diagnostics, not afterthoughts.

4. Preserve a reproducible decision record

The data snapshot hash, analysis version, plan, effect estimate, uncertainty, guardrails and owner decision stay linked for review.

what CRO OS contains

The first useful product is experiment integrity review. Native experimentation comes after the integrity machinery proves itself.

working now

Experiment split check

Tests whether observed allocation is consistent with the configured split for the initial two-arm case.

working now

Stable visitor assignment

A versioned deterministic assignment foundation exists for the native engine.

working now

Consent-aware eligibility first

The design decides whether the visitor is eligible before randomization; later consent does not silently reshape the denominator.

working now

Shadow A/A recording

The null experiment path exists so the machinery can be tested before real conversion decisions depend on it.

shared engine

Tenancy, roles, SSO and audit

Inherited enterprise primitives provide isolation and governance, but still require CRO-specific product verification.

next

Import + reconcile an existing experiment

The first external customer job: bring allocation, exposure and outcome data and expose imbalance, duplicates, cross-arm delivery and missing outcomes.

next

Reproducible fixed-horizon readout

Integrity state, effect estimate with interval, practical relevance and owner decision stay separate.

next

Registered analysis plan

Traffic feasibility, minimum worthwhile effect, sample size, stopping rule and missing-data policy are locked before interpretation.

later

Native variant delivery

Serving variants arrives only after integrity review, Gate B safety work and A/A validation are ready.

later

Metric layer + feature flags

Enterprise metric semantics, guardrails, rollout flags and broader experimentation depth remain roadmap work.

decision rules, not winner theatre

Three separate conclusions keep a bad experiment from becoming a confident business decision.

Integrity

Passed · Failed · Unverified.
Incomplete allocation, exposure or outcome data can block a supported-effect claim.

Estimated effect

Effect size and uncertainty at the registered horizon, with practical size shown alongside statistical evidence.

Owner decision

Adopt, reject, continue or investigate, recorded separately so a statistical result never impersonates a business judgment.

No automatic winners. No repeated significance peeking in the initial engine. No guarantee of conversion lift. A well-run experiment can be inconclusive and still be useful.

protected by the sister-tool family

CRO OS owns experiment meaning. Sentinel protects the live journey. Compliance OS can optionally govern privacy eligibility.

CRO OS

Experiment semantics

Owns allocation rules, metric definitions, integrity interpretation and the reproducible readout.

Frontend Sentinel

Journey verification

Provides independent browser evidence when a variant damages a protected journey such as signup, login or checkout.

Compliance OS · optional

Privacy decision before assignment

When both are installed, the reviewed consent state can determine whether a persistent assignment method is permitted. Neither product requires the other.

Shared engine: evidence, approvals, release identity, incidents, tenancy, audit and recovery are inherited family primitives. CRO-specific assignment and statistics remain owned by CRO OS.

build status, plainly

25% of the full enterprise blueprint is built.

Against the narrower v4 CRO gates, the product is about 80% built. The hard foundations exist, but CRO OS does not yet serve native variants, import and reconcile a real external experiment, or produce a complete supported-effect readout.

0%25% full enterprise plan100%

Working today

  • + experiment split-check tool
  • + stable visitor assignment foundation
  • + consent-first eligibility logic
  • + shadow A/A experiment recording on our Lab site, with consent from the visitor's banner choice
  • + tenant separation, roles, SSO and audit

Still to build or prove

  • import + reconcile an existing experiment
  • duplicate and cross-arm checks
  • reproducible readout
  • registered analysis plan + effect estimates
  • independent statistical validation / repeated null simulations
  • native variant serving
  • metric layer and feature flags
first commercial offer

Bring one experiment you already ran. Find out whether the result deserves to be trusted.

CRO OS Integrity Review

Best fit: a web team or agency already running experiments and willing to supply the experiment definition plus the allocation, exposure and outcome data available from the current platform.

  • one existing two-arm experiment
  • input-contract review
  • allocation split check
  • missingness / duplicate / cross-arm review as available
  • integrity classification
  • reproducible evidence package
  • plain-language interpretation of what can and cannot be concluded
Request an integrity review

Why start here?

It creates customer value before CRO OS serves a single variant. It also forces the integrity engine to prove itself against messy real-world experiment data before native delivery raises the blast radius.

A test with incomplete data can remain unverified. The review will not manufacture an effect estimate just to make the report feel complete.

FAQ

Questions an experimentation or analytics team should ask.

Is CRO OS a complete A/B testing platform today?

No. Native variant serving and the complete readout are not finished. The first external product is an experiment-integrity review of an existing test.

What happens when the split looks wrong?

Sample-ratio mismatch is treated as a diagnostic that requires investigation. CRO OS should not claim a specific root cause from the mismatch alone.

Does a p-value decide the winner?

No. Integrity, effect estimate and business decision remain separate. A low p-value alone is not a business decision.

Why evaluate consent before randomization?

Because first-party, pseudonymous or cookieless does not automatically mean permitted. The experiment must use an assignment method compatible with the reviewed privacy policy.

What would make CRO OS trustworthy enough for native experiments?

Imported-experiment integrity proof, Gate B safety tests, deterministic assignment tests, analytical reference cases, repeated null simulations, and a meaningful A/A run before a powered customer experiment.

trust the experiment before the winner

Start by auditing one result your team is already considering acting on.

CRO OS is early by design. The fastest way to make it useful is to expose bad experiment evidence before native variant delivery adds more complexity.